Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 3.187896 3.560557 3.964004 4.433995 4.967425 5.555137 6.253188
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.709314 3.217701 3.807158 4.544111 5.444949 6.515506 7.891861
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.369524 2.945278 3.647916 4.574638 5.773818 7.285415 9.354428
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.124626 2.739725 3.522213 4.600529 6.063314 8.000569 10.797118
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.933408 2.572165 3.414047 4.618858 6.321639 8.676585 12.240372
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.737165 2.373121 3.237000 4.514047 6.384135 9.070165 13.307694
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.599562 2.238666 3.131185 4.490672 6.548274 9.610225 14.634587
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.476356 2.111850 3.021840 4.446272 6.668401 10.085173 15.900913
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.428946 2.089641 3.060052 4.621920 7.135312 11.132840 18.201785
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.342247 2.000709 2.989401 4.619823 7.316094 11.734631 19.818379
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.257706 1.907936 2.904327 4.584886 7.435666 12.240254 21.317326
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.135760 1.747835 2.701498 4.340048 7.178558 12.075112 21.577638
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.076046 1.684283 2.650852 4.348609 7.364543 12.714902 23.441191
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.040750 1.657636 2.658035 4.455716 7.733617 13.721330 26.143132
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.993916 1.608291 2.623212 4.485452 7.963664 14.491723 28.473555
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.950353 1.561166 2.588188 4.510753 8.185818 15.266863 30.912880
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.909179 1.515140 2.551333 4.528675 8.393776 16.032785 33.432042
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.852384 1.438127 2.454391 4.426154 8.355732 16.296301 34.870721
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.812326 1.388049 2.401984 4.403289 8.472795 16.888601 37.132956
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.772342 1.335582 2.341621 4.359856 8.542976 17.386867 39.239844
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.764687 1.341333 2.388843 4.531670 9.076599 18.946075 44.145233
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.734435 1.303379 2.351289 4.529618 9.238701 19.694481 47.131592
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.702192 1.259775 2.300106 4.495446 9.327076 20.282545 49.788383